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Increasing Violence in Hong Kong; Entering Category 2 Phase of Insurgency?

Sadly, but predictably, there seems to be more and more violence in Hong Kong. The CCP has decided to use a tactic of more direct confrontations with the protests. This has happened just in the past couple of days, In the past, there were frequent confrontations between protesters and Hong Kong police, but not many between pro-Beijing people and pro-democracy demonstrators. Now, there are more and more confrontations between pro-democracy demonstrators and pro-Beijing elements, presumably triad gang members and possibly People’s Armed Police agents and agitators. Since there were few direct confrontations between pro-democracy people and pro-CCP people, it is likely that many or most of the pro-CCP people are paid agitators and provocateurs.

War correspondent Michael Yon has been on the scene in Hong Kong for some time with first-hand reporting and video. His Facebook page has many videos and first-hand observations and opinion on the situation there.

In a Facebook post from September 4th, Yon describes five phases of insurgency:

Hong Kong: Category 1 phase of insurgency — will it go beyond this? I do not know. And so I keep watching and…

Posted by Michael Yon on Wednesday, September 4, 2019

Yon describes category 2 insurgency as “Economic damage increases. Dehumanization increases in preparation for economic, political, and physical combat. Killing begins.” Is Hong Kong nearing category 2 insurgency? This video, of protesters beating a pro-Beijing man unconscious make this writer think that perhaps it is.

The CCP’s pet media, like Global Times, is playing this as much as possible to turn public opinion away from the pro-democracy movement. Because it is such a violent attack, the CCP’s propaganda may work to some degree. (Note that pro-CCP agitators have been seen wearing blue shirts recently).

On the other side, pro-CCP goons attacked and beat pro-democracy demonstrators at an MTR station:

These clashes are looking more and more like rival gang battles. With the backing of the Hong Kong establishment, government, and police, and possibly People’s Armed Police agents, the pro-Beijing gang would seem to have an advantage, but the pro-democracy demonstrators have the advantage of numbers, passion, support of most residents of Hong Kong, and international support (whether or not international support makes any difference remains to be seen). These are perilous times in Hong Kong. If a police officer is killed, that may be the trigger (the trigger Beijing has been looking for?) to unleash a bloody crack down on the pro-democracy movement. Let us all hope that it doesn’t come to that.

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